There’s none so blind
as those who will not see, which is why writing this column is often
frustrating. I feel saddened, not vindicated, when predictions I have made-
sometimes years ago-come true. So it was with piracy on the African coasts and
its links with terrorist outfits. So it was with my warnings over the years
that Islamist terror would spread southward to Northern Africa and beyond. And
so it has been, over the last year or so, with my warnings that jihadists would
inevitably use the Mediterranean refugee crisis to infiltrate into Western
Europe.
Only now, after the
Islamic State has explicitly expressed its intent to use Libyan boat people as
a means to flood Europe with its brand of terrorists, is the shipping industry
waking up to the threat. But it is probably too late; shipping, to borrow from
Connery in a movie, is already between a rock and a hard case.
The hard case, of
course, is the IS. Alarm bells have- belatedly, as usual- started ringing in
the industry after a Ro-Ro ship found two western stowaways in Italy who were
bound for Turkey and then to Syria to join the IS. This was not the first such incident;
French and Italian ports have been used before by wannabe fighters wanting to
go to Syria from Europe, especially after the aerial route has been strangled.
Obviously, people are particularly alarmed at the reverse possibility; that
returning IS fighters and other assorted jihadists will try to enter Europe as
stowaways on commercial ships. This has added another dimension to the direct
threat that the IS has made- exporting terror to Europe through the failed
State of Libya.
The rock is the refugee crisis, and that is is bad enough on its own. Six
hundred commercial ships were called to rescue or assist the boat people- numbering
around 200,000- in 2014. Merchant ship involvement has increased after the
Italian navy stopped its Mare Nostrum sea patrols that were meant to assist the
boat people; authorities said the operation was too expensive and was probably
encouraging the migrants. Last July, in
an example that is hardly isolated, the Torm Lotte- a tanker with a crew of 20-
picked up nearly 600 refugees, mainly Yemenis, Syrians, Libyans and Ethiopians. The small
crew had a tough time controlling them, trying to prevent fights breaking out
between the refugees and their smugglers, who had also been rescued.
Shipmasters know how easy it would be for armed terrorists to board their
ships this way.
Some shipmanagers and operators say that, given the IS threat, merchant
ships should not be called in to rescue refugees in the Mediterranean any
longer. This is a knee jerk reaction that goes against legality and one of the
oldest traditions of the sea, and I hope Masters will ignore such directives if
they are issued. The UN
Refugee Agency’s view- that the safety of
seafarers should be given equal priority to that of the refugees- is one I
agree with, although it begs a stupid question: how do you ensure your crew’s
safety when you pick up a few hundred people from a boat- even if they are all
unarmed- when meaningful identity checks are impossible?
The industry response to this security threat has
been along expected lines. The protection of commerce and ships is what worries
people; the threat to crews is, as usual, largely ignored. This is reinforced
by the fact that it is P&I clubs, not shipowners or managers, that have
issued warnings about IS linked stowaways. Let me remind shipowners that should
this game escalate, their ships are likely to be regularly searched for stowaways by authorities at many ports
around the world; those delays will come with significant costs. And that their
calculators will threaten to burn big holes in their pockets should, for
example, a tanker be taken over by a group of armed terrorists and used as a
weapon for spectacular destruction.
By the way, I am now rolling my eyes
after reading a news item saying that the IMO has invited the UNHCR to
participate in a UN interagency meeting in London next month. One media report
had a IMO spokesman saying, “We welcome the opportunity to engage with the IMO
and other stakeholders on this complex emergent issue.”
Emergent? What can be predicted a year earlier
by a solitary columnist of average intelligence and with zero organisational resources
is emergent? What should have been- and probably was, for much longer-
glaringly obvious to a UN organisation is emergent?
I will not insult the reader’s
intelligence by giving reasons why the industry and its organisations like to
pretend they did not see things coming. We see this time and again; suffice it
to say that corruption goes beyond bribery, that everybody has their own
agendas and that there is little will to solve the problem.
But I will offer a piece of advice to
the gentle spokesman from the IMO, and that is this. Loosen your necktie, sir.
It is restricting the flow of blood to your brain.
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